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Global FX, Rates & Economics: French election: Thoughts on outcome and implications on rates/ FX markets
Jun 12, 2024
Economics experts Raphael Brun-Aguerre, Aditya Chordia, and Meera Chandan discuss French lower house elections, potential outcomes, and implications on rates/FX markets. Topics include Macron's decision, potential alliances, fiscal policies under Le Pen, market spreads analysis, French bond shifts, FX market impact focusing on Euro and US dollar.
19:59
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Quick takeaways
- French lower house elections could impact FX/rates markets
- Potential fiscal implications of a Le Pen government in France
Deep dives
Macron's Surprise Call for Elections in France
The podcast delves into the unexpected decision of French President Macron to call for elections for the lower house and the reasons behind this move. Macron aimed to secure a majority in the lower house due to past challenges of managing with a relative majority. The mechanics of the elections involve two rounds, with the second round potentially including more than two candidates, affecting the outcomes. Polls suggest a possibility of Le Pen gaining a majority, leading to potential implications for future governance.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode