In this episode, 42 Macro explores whether market consensus turned too bearish in light of disinflation evidence from recent earnings releases and corporate guidance. The discussion covers earnings-driven stock movements, portfolio strategies using systematic overlays and positioning guidance, and an analysis of short-, medium-, and long-term quantitative signals. It also delves into the prevailing inflationary market regime, highlighting risk-off asset allocation preferences and the potential for a hawkish monetary shift. Additionally, the podcast explains the inspiration behind the Global Macro Risk Matrix and its role in identifying regime shifts and optimizing portfolio construction.
