The End of Irrational Exuberance?

27 snips

Jan 13, 2025

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas delve into the fallout from rising interest rates, particularly on growth stocks and small caps. They unpack the widening gaps between treasury yields and examine how a strong dollar affects multinational companies. The duo also discusses the upcoming earnings reports from major banks and considers the implications of oil price fluctuations driven by geopolitical tensions. With a look ahead, they emphasize the critical role of upcoming CPI and PPI data in shaping market sentiment.

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INSIGHT

Market Reacts to Rates

The market is finally reacting to rising interest rates, as evidenced by the widening spread between 2-year and 10-year treasuries.
This suggests a potential shift in market sentiment, aligning with previous predictions about interest rate inversions and re-steepening.

INSIGHT

Rational Market Behavior

The widening spread between two and ten-year treasuries is the steepest since 2022.
Growth stocks are down as yields are up, indicating rational market behavior.

INSIGHT

Small Caps Signal Weakness

While rising rates might signal a good economy, small caps' performance tells a different story.
The IWM's correction suggests underlying weakness despite positive economic indicators.

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Guy Adami and Liz Thomas explore the impact of rising interest rates on markets, the widening spread between two-year and ten-year treasuries, and the performance of growth stocks. The conversation includes an analysis of small caps confirming market drawdowns, the implications of a strong US dollar, and potential effects on large multinational companies. They also highlight the significance of upcoming earnings reports from major banks and the influence of oil prices driven by geopolitical risks. The episode closes with a look ahead at the importance of CPI and PPI data releases and their potential market impacts.

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On The Tape is a weekly podcast with CNBC Fast Money’s Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Danny Moses. They’re offering takes on the biggest market-moving headlines of the week, trade ideas, in-depth analysis, tips and advice. Each episode, they are joined by prominent Wall Street participants to help viewers make smarter investment decisions. Bear market, bull market, recession, inflation or deflation… we’re here to help guide your portfolio into the green. Risk Reversal brings you years of experience from former Wall Street insiders trading stocks to experts in the commodity market.

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