329: Lilly's earnings surprise, investors mull the election, & a spooky ghost story
Oct 31, 2024
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This week features a lively mix of Halloween fun and biotech chat. The hosts share their favorite candies while diving into Eli Lilly and Pfizer's surprising earnings reports. They explore how a Trump or Harris presidency might reshape healthcare and what it means for the biopharma sector. The conversation blends serious insights with playful banter, wrapping up with a spooky ghost story that adds a festive flair. Expect humor, ghostly tales, and sharp analysis on the industry's future!
28:25
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Quick takeaways
Eli Lilly's unexpected earnings challenges and concerns over competitive pressures highlight significant issues in the biopharma market.
The upcoming election's potential outcomes could drastically alter the healthcare landscape, influencing policies and regulatory environments for biopharma companies.
Deep dives
Eli Lilly's Earnings Report Disappointment
Eli Lilly's recent earnings report revealed unexpected challenges, missing sales projections for their prominent GLP-1 medications, Moonjaro and Zetbound. Analysts speculated that a decrease in sales was tied to drug wholesalers purchasing less stock, citing limitations in cold chain storage as a potential factor. The company's executives attempted to downplay concerns related to alternative compounding options, asserting that patient safety was their primary focus. However, skepticism arose among observers, who questioned whether this move was genuinely about safety or a defense against a competitive landscape.
Pfizer's latest earnings report demonstrated a surprising resilience, surpassing expectations despite ongoing scrutiny from activist investors. The company's success was largely attributed to stable sales figures from its COVID-related products, including Paxlovid, which helped to mitigate concerns over sustainability beyond 2025. Albert Borla's management during the earnings call was strategic, maintaining a cordial relationship with investors while addressing the company's challenges. This reported strength, even when built on COVID sales, provided Pfizer with a momentary reprieve from activist pressure.
Implications of the Upcoming Election on Healthcare
The upcoming election presents significant implications for the healthcare landscape, contingent on the outcomes tied to either a Trump or Harris presidency. A potential Harris victory could maintain the status quo within the biotech sector, preserving recent healthcare policies and executive appointments. In contrast, a Trump administration could introduce unpredictable changes, with the potential for an FDA influenced by RFK Jr.'s controversial health positions, which may pose risks for biopharma regulation. The election conversation has already reignited debates surrounding public health and science, paralleling the discussions that shaped the previous election cycle.
Adam, Allison, and Elaine get into the Halloween spirit this week, discussing their favorite candies — and Eli Lilly and Pfizer's surprise earnings reports. Then, they discuss what a Trump or Harris presidency could mean for health care and the biopharma industry, and what investors and biopharma executives think about either outcome.
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