Top Traders Unplugged

OI15: Navigating the Commodity Markets with Calculo Capital ft. Ole Hansen & Philip Carlsson

15 snips
Apr 23, 2025
Philip Engel Carlsson, founder of Calculo Capital, and Ole Hansen from Saxo Bank dive into the fast-paced world of commodity trading. They discuss their unique short-term quantitative strategies, leveraging machine learning to capitalize on price movements. The duo highlights rising demand for precious metals and the impact of geopolitical events on market trends. They also explore risk management through historical data analysis, offering insights on navigating volatility and optimizing performance in liquid markets. Their distinctive approach sets them apart in the investment landscape.
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INSIGHT

Key Commodity Market Drivers

  • Commodities are influenced by geopolitical risks, fiscal debt concerns, and deglobalization trends.
  • Demand for metals and energy is driven by defense spending, decarbonization, and urbanization.
INSIGHT

Short-Term Commodity Trading Strategy

  • Calculo Capital focuses on very short-term trades with holding periods of two to five days.
  • They capture supply-demand imbalances driving price movements and use AI to optimize exits.
ADVICE

Trade Commodities for Supply-Demand Imbalances

  • Focus on commodity markets due to unique supply-demand constraints creating tradeable price movements.
  • These constraints are less apparent in equities or interest rates markets.
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