The DSR Network
Watching and Waiting: Israel, Iran, War and Ceasefire
Aug 14, 2024
Join regional experts Aaron David Miller, a seasoned analyst of Middle Eastern politics, and Barbara Slavin, a specialist in U.S.-Iran relations, as they navigate the fraught landscape of Israeli-Iranian tensions. They unpack potential retaliatory actions from Iran and the complexities of achieving a ceasefire amidst escalating conflicts. The conversation delves into the implications for U.S. foreign policy, Biden’s approach to the Israeli-Palestinian issue, and what the future holds for the region in this charged geopolitical climate.
34:30
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Quick takeaways
- Iran's potential military retaliation against Israel hinges on achieving a ceasefire in Gaza, reflecting complex regional dynamics.
- The influence of U.S. domestic politics on Israel's military strategy suggests a possible prolongation of conflict until after elections.
Deep dives
Iran's Potential Military Response
Iran may consider retaliating militarily in response to recent Israeli assassinations, particularly if a ceasefire in the ongoing Israel-Gaza conflict is achieved. Such a ceasefire could be interpreted by Iran as a strategic victory. If direct retaliation occurs, it could mirror past actions, such as missile and drone assaults. However, U.S. military resources in the region may enable a defensive posture against any Iranian strike, potentially complicating Iran's military calculations.
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