The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

Professor Kenneth French on Risk, Return, and Rationality | #530

4 snips
Apr 19, 2024
Professor Kenneth French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance at Tuck School of Business, discusses long-term investing, global market portfolio, stock buybacks misconceptions, human capital, and improving financial education with Meb Faber.
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INSIGHT

FANG Stocks and Market Predictions

  • Group labeling follows past stock performance, creating a fallacy of continued success.
  • Current returns already reflect current and future news, not future astronomical returns.
ANECDOTE

Judging Hedge Fund Manager Skill

  • Even with a skilled hedge fund manager delivering 5% alpha annually with 20% volatility, it takes 64 years to determine their true skill.
  • Observed returns have high randomness; what we want to know is the expected return.
ANECDOTE

MIT Hedge Fund Manager

  • Ken French advised MIT not to fire an underperforming hedge fund manager after 18 months.
  • He argued that they learned nothing about skill, only that fees were temporarily lower due to the high watermark.
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