The Rational Reminder Podcast

Episode 321 - Evidence in Practice with Håkon Kavli

66 snips
Sep 5, 2024
In this discussion, Håkon Kavli, CIO of Reitan Kapital, reveals insights into managing wealth for one of Norway's foremost families, emphasizing evidence-based investing. He explores portfolio optimization challenges and introduces unique asset classes like catastrophe bonds. The conversation also highlights a forthcoming investing conference in Norway. Joining him is Dan Bortolotti, who critiques the risks of concentrated tech investments, advocating for global diversification using the VEQT ETF as an example. Expect engaging advice for both newbies and seasoned investors!
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INSIGHT

Equity Market Assumptions

  • Reitan Capital uses historical data and fundamental analysis for equity assumptions.
  • They analyze historical market regimes and incorporate current market pricing.
INSIGHT

Fixed Income Assumptions

  • Reitan Capital uses a building block approach for fixed income assumptions, starting with real cash rates.
  • They add inflation, term premium, credit spread, loss, and valuation change.
INSIGHT

Portfolio Optimization Challenges

  • Portfolio optimization is crucial, but traditional methods face a "garbage in, garbage out" problem.
  • Financial data's noise can lead to nonsensical portfolio weights.
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