AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
The episode features the introduction of Dan Bordelotti as a new regular guest, which brings an exciting dynamic to the podcast. His previous participation was well-received, and the hosts expressed enthusiasm about having him contribute regularly. This collaboration aims to lighten the mood with segments like 'bad investment advice' while discussing various financial topics. The hosts believe that Dan's presence will enhance the podcast's content and provide valuable insights for listeners.
Hoken Kavli, the CIO of Rayton Capital, joins the episode to discuss their approach to managing family office money. Rayton Capital, which oversees the liquidity of the Rayton family, utilizes a philosophy grounded in evidence-based investing. Kavli emphasizes the significance of relying on academic and industry research to drive their investment strategies, reflecting a dedication to data-driven decision-making. The conversation showcases how this investment philosophy can yield better outcomes for their investments compared to traditional methods.
The asset allocation strategy at Rayton Capital is primarily a 60/40 split between equities and fixed income, reflecting a belief in the efficiency of broader market indices. This allocation is designed to stay closely aligned with the MSCI All Country World Index for equities and the Bloomberg Multiverse Index for fixed income. Kavli articulates that deviations from this benchmark usually only occur to enhance market coverage or to include missing asset classes. He highlights that a disciplined approach to maintaining this allocation is crucial for long-term investment success.
Capital market assumptions (CMAs) are central to Rayton Capital’s investment process, serving as a guideline for evaluating each asset class. The firm emphasizes the need for regular updates to their CMAs based on both empirical history and fundamental data analysis. This approach requires a robust understanding of historical returns and an assessment of current market conditions which inform future expectations. By establishing a systematic model for developing CMAs, they aim to provide consistent evaluations in portfolio construction.
Kavli discusses the inherent challenges in traditional portfolio optimization methods, such as the potential for noise in financial data to skew results. He suggests that slight inaccuracies in the input data can lead to significant distortions in output. To mitigate this, Rayton Capital applies advanced techniques like denoising methods and robust optimization strategies to improve their forecasts. This focus on reducing the impact of noise allows them to align their portfolio more closely with ideal investment goals.
The discussion extends to the role of private equity within a diversified portfolio, where Kavli asserts that it can provide unique value creation opportunities. The firm believes that although private equity carries certain risks, such as illiquidity and high fees, it has historically performed well relative to public equity markets. Kavli points out that the case for including private equity is strengthened if one can identify top-performing managers and manage costs effectively. Ultimately, he notes private equity’s potential as a valuable asset class, provided it is approached judiciously.
The episode hints at an upcoming investment conference in Trondheim, Norway, where industry leaders and academics will gather to discuss evidence-based investment philosophies. The event aims to share knowledge without the influence of vendor-driven agendas, focusing purely on education and best practices in asset management. The guests are invited to join as speakers alongside esteemed professionals from the investment field. This platform serves to foster community dialogue and innovation in financial management strategies.
How can the Rational Reminder Podcast get even better? By bringing back one of its most beloved voices, Dan Bortolotti, also known as "The Spud." In this exciting episode, hosts Ben Felix, Cameron Passmore, and Mark McGrath announce that Dan, the mind behind the Canadian Couch Potato Podcast, will now be a regular guest, contributing segments like "Bad Investment Advice" or "Ask the Spud.” Before Dan joins the conversation, we have an insightful discussion with Håkon Kavli, CIO of Reitan Kapital. Håkon shares how his team manages the wealth of one of Norway’s most prominent families, comparable to Canada’s Weston family. We discuss Reitan Kapital’s evidence-based investing approach, their robust methods for overcoming portfolio optimization challenges, and much more. Håkon also sheds light on their upcoming investing conference in Norway, featuring speakers like our very own, Cameron Passmore, and Marcos López de Prado. Following this, Dan kicks off his return by dissecting an article that advocates going all-in on the QQQ ETF in an RRSP, exposing the dangers of such a concentrated and risky strategy. He contrasts this approach with the wisdom of diversifying across global markets, using examples like Vanguard’s VEQT ETF, which offers exposure to over 13,000 stocks worldwide. Additionally, if you’re a financial advisor interested in joining a planning-focused, fiduciary firm like PWL Capital, we encourage you to reach out. Our team is growing, and we’re looking for like-minded individuals to join our mission. Tune in for a rich mix of expert advice, thoughtful discussions, and exciting announcements!
Key Points From This Episode:
(0:00:28) Announcements: a new regular guest, PWL’s call for like-minded advisors, and more.
(0:04:15) Introducing Håkon Kavli, the Reitan family, and the origins of Reitan Kapital.
(0:08:06) Reitan Kapital’s investment philosophy and asset allocation strategy.
(0:10:29) The biggest differences between a Reitan Kapital portfolio and a market portfolio.
(0:13:19) Capital market assumptions; how they influence Reitan Kapital's investment process.
(0:20:38) Portfolio optimization challenges and Reitan’s robust methods for addressing these.
(0:35:06) The role of private equity in a diversified portfolio and how it differs from public equity.
(0:38:40) Fee structure significance in private equity investments and their impact on returns.
(0:40:38) Risks associated with private equity and how they compare to public markets.
(0:43:36) Reitan Kapital’s view on how private equity fits into a diversified portfolio.
(0:49:08) Challenges of investing in private equity for retail investors.
(0:50:26) Why so many institutions and firms have substantial allocations to private markets.
(0:53:58) An overview of the research Håkon is most excited about.
(0:56:20) Details for the upcoming conference in Norway, featuring Cameron Passmore.
(0:59:16) Dan’s Bad Investment Advice segment; going all-in on the QQQ ETF in an RRSP.
(01:13:12) Our aftershow segment: listener feedback, our next meetup in Ottawa, a shoutout to Jason Pereira, and more.
Links From Today’s Episode:
Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p
Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/
Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/
Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder
Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/
Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/
Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix
Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/
Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/
Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore
Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/
Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP
Dan Bortolotti — https://www.canadianmoneysaver.ca/authors/dan-bortolotti
Dan Bortolotti on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-bortolotti-8a482310/
Canadian Couch Potato Blog — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/
Canadian Couch Potato Podcast — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/podcast/
Episode 308: Dan Bortolotti — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/308 Håkon Kavli on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/haakonkavli/ Reitan — https://reitan.no/no
Reitan Kapital — http://www.reitankapital.no/
Weston — https://www.weston.ca/en/Home.aspx Marcos Lopez de Prado — https://www.orie.cornell.edu/faculty-directory/marcos-lopez-de-prado Antti Ilmanen — https://www.aqr.com/About-Us/OurFirm/Antti-Ilmanen Episode 224: Prof. Scott Cederburg — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/224 Sharpe ratio — https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sharperatio.asp
Episode 210: Prof. Ludovic Phalippou — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/210 Reitan Kapital Conference — ‘An interesting RRSP idea – all in on QQQ?’ — https://www.tawcan.com/all-in-on-qqq/
VEQT Vanguard All-Equity ETF Portfolio — https://www.vanguard.ca/en/investor/products/products-group/etfs/VEQT Mark Mid Graph on X — Jason Pereira — https://jasonpereira.ca/
Papers From Today’s Episode:
‘Estimating Private Equity Returns from Limited Partner Cash Flows’ — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2356553 ‘Mutual Fund Flows and Performance in Rational Markets’ — https://www.nber.org/papers/w9275 ‘What are Stock Investors' Actual Historical Returns? Evidence from Dollar-Weighted Returns’ — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=544142
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode