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Bloomberg Surveillance

Surveillance: Tight Spreads with Athey

Aug 17, 2023
James Athey believes credit spreads are too tight. Matthew Luzzetti expects a recession and equity market decline. Susan Thornton discusses China's need for increased household spending. Joe Feldman analyzes Walmart's lifted profit outlook due to US shoppers.
30:27

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Credit spreads are too tight, indicating potential risks in the market.
  • Walmart's increased profit forecast reflects consumers seeking value in essential goods.

Deep dives

Walmart's Strong Performance Reflects Consumer's Focus on Value

Walmart has raised its annual profit forecast for the second quarter in a row, indicating that consumers are seeking value. Other retailers, such as Amazon and Target, have also seen increased traffic, especially in the grocery and consumables sectors. While discretionary spending has been soft, the lower freight costs have improved margins for retailers. The consumer is still able to spend, but it seems that spending is more focused on essential goods rather than broad categories. Overall, the consumer's prudent spending habits and balance sheet management suggest a sustainable trend, and a broad slowdown in retailing may not be imminent.

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