The Rational Reminder Podcast

Episode 373: Asset Allocation in Practice

161 snips
Sep 4, 2025
Louai Bibi, a financial planner at PWL Capital, and Ben Wilson, the head of M&A architecture at PWL, share valuable insights on asset allocation. They delve into how personal life stories shape financial decisions, emphasizing the delicate balance between stocks and bonds. The discussion covers Monte Carlo simulations, the psychology behind risk tolerance, and why diverse portfolios matter. They also highlight intriguing stock return outliers and discuss the impact of advisor alignment on successful wealth management.
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INSIGHT

Asset Allocation Is The Biggest Investment Choice

  • Asset allocation is the single largest investment decision: the mix of stocks vs. bonds defines long-term outcomes.
  • Louai argues getting this mix right early is more consequential than many other planning choices.
INSIGHT

Long-Term Returns Versus Short-Term Risk

  • Stocks historically outpace bonds versus inflation, but carry larger short-term drawdowns.
  • Louai shows $1 since 1970: bonds ≈$49, 60/40 ≈$98, 100% stocks ≈$130 to illustrate trade-offs.
ADVICE

Factor Recovery Time Into Allocation Choices

  • Consider recovery time when choosing allocation because deeper stock drops take much longer to rebound.
  • Lower equity weight can materially reduce drawdown size and shorten recovery time, Louai shows with 2008 examples.
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