On the ground in Kursk as Kyiv advances 35 kilometres into Russia
Aug 23, 2024
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Francis Dearnley, Assistant Comment Editor; Roland Oliphant, Senior Foreign Correspondent; and James Kilner, Foreign Correspondent, share gripping insights from the front lines in Kursk. They explore Ukraine's impressive military advances and the shifting dynamics in the conflict. The discussion delves into Putin's recent diplomatic trips and their implications for Russian society, alongside the vital morale of soldiers and civilians alike. Listeners gain an understanding of the ongoing geopolitical challenges and the complex relationship between Russia and Chechnya.
Ukraine's strategic incursion into Kursk highlights their bold military initiative, altering the conflict dynamics through territorial presence.
Russia's military response reveals heightened alarm, with redistributions aimed at countering Ukrainian advances, indicating vulnerabilities in their defense.
Modi's visit to Ukraine underscores India's diplomatic balancing act and emphasizes the importance of dialogue during the ongoing war.
Deep dives
Ukrainian Incursion into Kursk
Ukraine has significantly advanced into Russia's Kursk Oblast, with reports indicating that they have penetrated between 28 to 35 kilometers into the region. This bold move is seen as a strategic attempt by Ukraine to maintain a presence in Russian territory, potentially altering the dynamics of the conflict. Visual evidence has emerged showing Ukrainian soldiers in Kursk, celebrating their incursion with ironic toasts, which highlights a psychological victory amid the ongoing conflict. The situation has prompted Russia to enhance its border security, as local officials request federal funding to bolster their forces against this unprecedented Ukrainian advance.
Russian Military Response
In reaction to Ukraine's operations, Russia is redistributing military resources, including airborne units, to stabilize its defense in Kursk. The Russian military has reportedly moved components of at least one airborne regiment in response to the Ukrainian presence, indicating a serious attempt to counteract the incursion. Elevated troop movements and logistical adjustments suggest that Russia is alert to the vulnerabilities exposed by Ukraine's operations. Meanwhile, there are contradictions in intelligence reports, with some implying a reduction in Russian military activity in other areas, leading to speculation on their strategic priorities.
Political Implications of Foreign Visits
Indian Prime Minister Modi's visit to Ukraine has raised eyebrows, given India's historical ties with Russia and its nuanced position on the conflict. During the visit, Modi expressed sympathy for the impact on children due to the war, reflecting India's cautious diplomatic approach. However, this meeting also underscores the importance of maintaining communication channels with Ukraine amid the ongoing war. Observers speculate that the real diplomatic work takes place behind closed doors, with public meetings often focusing on broad, non-controversial statements.
US Support and Military Aid
The United States has reiterated its commitment to Ukraine by providing substantial military aid amid the heightened tensions. A recent announcement indicates that the Biden administration will send approximately $125 million worth of military equipment, including air defense missiles and artillery, to bolster Ukraine's fighting capabilities. This gesture aligns with Vice President Kamala Harris’s vow to stand firmly with Ukraine and NATO allies, reinforcing the US stance against perceived aggressors. The timing of this aid coincides with Ukraine's Independence Day, amplifying its significance amidst the ongoing conflict with Russia.
Perceptions of the War among Troops and Civilians
Insights from journalists embedded with Ukrainian forces reveal a mixed sentiment among troops regarding their current situation and prospects. While the mood appears positive and hopeful, indicating a sense of initiative, there's also an undercurrent of caution about potential retaliations from Russian forces. Encounters with civilians in regions under occupation showcase their fear and resignation due to prolonged conflict, underscoring the war's psychological toll on both soldiers and local populations. This interaction highlights the complexities of public sentiment in areas directly affected by military actions and the ongoing struggle for normalcy amid chaos.
Today, we hear from a journalist who was just on the ground with Ukrainian forces in Kursk, Russia, reflect on the latest battlefield and political developments, and look deeper into Putin’s recent foreign trips and ask what it tells us about the tensions in Russian society.
Contributors:
Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.
Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Correspondent). @RolandOliphant on X.
James Kilner (Foreign Correspondent). @jkjourno on X.
With thanks to Tom Mutch (Journalist). @ntmutch on X and Instagram.
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