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First-Past System Skews Seat Outcomes
- Canada uses a first-past-the-post system where seat distribution can diverge from national vote share.
- Liberals won more seats despite a narrow popular vote lead because their support was more efficiently distributed.
Timing The Election Shifted Momentum
- Liberals called an early election after Mark Carney won their leadership to capitalize on a favorable polling window.
- That strategic timing helped reverse a previous Conservative polling advantage.
NDP Collapse And Strategic Voting
- The NDP suffered a dramatic collapse, dropping from 24 seats to around seven and losing official party status.
- Strategic voting by left-leaning voters to block Conservatives accelerated the NDP's losses.