We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

TIP611: The Bear Case for China w/ Kyle Bass

29 snips
Mar 1, 2024
Kyle Bass, founder of Hayman Capital Management and notable for his role in shorting the housing market in 2008, joins the discussion to sound alarms about China's economic landscape. He delves into the potential for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, revealing the concerning drop in foreign investment and challenges in accessing accurate data. Additionally, Bass examines the precarious state of China's real estate market and the disconnect between its public narrative and economic reality, while sharing his current investment strategies in this volatile environment.
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INSIGHT

Taiwan's Strategic Importance

  • Xi Jinping's desire to "reunify" Taiwan isn't solely economic.
  • It's about securing the first island chain, which is key to his goal of global primacy.
INSIGHT

China's Data Blackout

  • China restricted data access because its economic data is poor.
  • Educated guesses about risks within China's financial system are now necessary.
ANECDOTE

Military Exercises

  • China conducted military exercises, "Joint Fire Strike" and "Joint Disorder."
  • These exercises prepare the PLA for a potential invasion of Taiwan.
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