'If You Can Keep It': Trump's Potential Plan For Undermining The Election
Oct 28, 2024
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David Becker, an attorney and executive director at the Center for Election Innovation & Research, joins Heidi Prisbila, a national investigative correspondent for Politico, and Carter Walker, a reporter covering election news in Pennsylvania. They discuss Trump’s potential strategies for contesting the 2024 election results and the troubling narratives of election fraud that have emerged. The conversation explores the implications of misinformation on election integrity, the risks of premature declarations on election night, and the importance of public transparency in maintaining trust in the electoral process.
Trump's potential to falsely declare victory on election night, similar to 2020, threatens the legitimacy of future elections.
The interplay of political pressure on election officials and disinformation campaigns raises significant concerns about the stability of electoral processes.
Deep dives
Trump's Election Night Claims
Donald Trump is expected to declare victory on election night, regardless of the actual count of votes. This pattern mirrors his behavior during the 2020 election, where he prematurely stated he had won before many votes were tallied. The systematic investment in promoting a narrative of widespread voter fraud suggests that Trump will follow a similar script, sowing doubt even before official results are known. Analysts warn that such claims, if made during tight races, could create significant confusion around the legitimacy of the election outcome.
Organized Political Pressure
The podcast discusses how political pressure on local and state election officials can influence the certification of results after an election. Trump has previously attempted to pressure officials to alter election outcomes, notably through direct phone calls during the 2020 election. Currently, there are concerns that some local officials may be complicit in undermining the election process if Trump refuses to accept a loss. The interplay between local pressures and the legal framework governing elections raises concerns about chaos during certification periods.
Role of Disinformation and Social Media
Disinformation campaigns, particularly on social media platforms, play a critical role in undermining public confidence in election integrity. Influencers like Elon Musk have amplified false narratives regarding elections, contributing to a culture of distrust among voters. Historical incidents demonstrate how fabricated claims can escalate into chaos, affecting local election processes. The podcast emphasizes the need for vigilance against misleading information and the challenges faced by those trying to provide accurate narratives.
Legal Strategies and Electoral Outcomes
The podcast outlines the legal strategies utilized by Trump and his allies seeking to challenge election results, including the filing of frivolous lawsuits to create doubt. These lawsuits may not be about winning in court but are designed to fabricate a narrative of fraud that can rally support and generate funding. The discussion highlights that voter suppression tactics are often rooted in these false claims, disproportionately affecting the rights of legitimate voters. Ultimately, the legal environment heading into the next election will play a significant role in determining the stability of the electoral system.
It was early on Wednesday morning some four years ago, hours after the polls had closed when then President Donald Trump falsely claimed victory in the election of 2020.
Never mind the fact that millions of legitimate votes had yet to be counted. And a half-dozen states hadn't yet been called for either Trump or President Joe Biden.
POLITICO has spoken to dozens of people familiar or involved with the election process this year. And according to their reporting, a consensus has emerged.
Not only could Donald Trump make a second attempt to overturn an election if he loses. But the groundwork for doing so has already been laid.