The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

2025 NFL Schedule with Warren Sharp - Part 1

4 snips
May 20, 2025
Warren Sharp, an NFL predictive analyst and founder of SharpFootballAnalysis.com, joins the conversation to break down the 2025 NFL schedule with a focus on strategic insights for bettors. He discusses rest advantages and how bye weeks critically impact team performance, revealing trends since 2018. The significance of international travel on team dynamics is also examined. Additionally, proposed changes to playoff seeding spark debates about their potential effects on betting strategies and team outcomes, keeping fans and gamblers alike on their toes.
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INSIGHT

Bye Week Teams Less Reliable

  • Teams coming off bye weeks no longer have the betting advantage they once had pre-2011.
  • Since 2017, teams after a bye cover the spread less than 50% of the time, indicating rust or loss of rhythm.
INSIGHT

NFL Schedule Fuels Early Betting

  • The NFL schedule release now creates unique betting opportunities with lines and totals posted early.
  • It stimulates intense early betting activity and fan engagement during the offseason.
INSIGHT

Uneven Rest Advantages Persist

  • Rest advantage exists but is uneven across the league; no priority for balance.
  • Marquee teams often get tough rest schedules due to their placement in high-profile games.
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