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Goldman Sachs The Markets

Currencies, rates, and a volatile yen

May 3, 2024
Global Banking & Markets' Lindsay Matcham discusses the recent volatility of the Japanese yen against the US dollar, delving into market responses to Fed and BoJ moves, factors contributing to the yen's depreciation, and the relationship between global growth, monetary policies, and debt levels.
07:28

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Japanese yen has depreciated due to US-led global growth and high US yields, leading to a negative outlook.
  • Japan's substantial debt-to-GDP ratio poses challenges for the Bank of Japan amidst currency fluctuations.

Deep dives

Volatility in the Japanese Yen

The Japanese yen has experienced significant volatility recently, depreciating towards the 160 mark. This movement has been influenced by a macro environment of US-led global growth and high US yields, creating a negative outlook for the yen known as a safe haven currency. Factors such as Japan exiting negative interest rate policies and dovish Bank of Japan meetings have contributed to the yen's devaluation. The rate differentials between the Bank of Japan and the Fed, with the BOJ maintaining rates at zero and the Fed hiking rates, have played a crucial role in the yen's pricing.

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