

Understanding Behavioral Economics: How to Beat the Market with Jeff Henriksen
Jeff Henriksen is the Founder and CEO of Thorpe Abbotts Capital, a behavioral-focused hedge fund focused on exploiting systematic biases in public markets.
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Key Highlights:
[00:01 - 13:24] Behavioral Finance and the Stock Market
- Human beings are influenced by biases and these can lead to mistakes in investment decisions
- The efficient market hypothesis and why individual investors cannot outperform the market
- Crowd wisdom on making accurate predictions based on the collective knowledge
- How the measure of free cash flow and the discount rate of an evaluation are affected
.[13:25 - 39:06] Beware of Systematic Investor Bias
- The levels of happiness based on gains and losses relative to a reference point
- Risk-seeking behavior has profound implications on markets and security prices
- How revenues and debt levels do not become indicative of distress
- Beware of value trap companies - looking promising but may be eroding rapidly
[39:07 - 41:29] The Importance of Disproving Your Own Views
- Markets are a lot more efficient than a lot of active managers realize
- Start out most investment thesis from a bearish perspective and disprove the bearish thesis
- To not be overly optimistic that the market's just throwing out great opportunities all the time
[41:30 - 42:57] Closing Segment
Email Jeff via jeff@thorpeabbottscapital.com and check out his website https://thorpeabbottscapital.com/ for more information!
Key Quotes:
“If your job as an investor is to go out and try to beat the market, you know, our view has always been well, I want to find out what parts of the market have a lot of correlated errors, then I can exploit or have a higher probability of having higher correlated errors because those were the mistakes exist. And that's where we can find an opportunity.” - Jeff Henriksen
“What I've learned is to be very critical of our own views. And to not take the market's judgment lightly.” - Jeff Henriksen
Connect with Jeff:
Website: https://thorpeabbottscapital.com/
Email: jeff@thorpeabbottscapital.com
Resources Mentioned
Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman
Connect with me on LinkedIn!
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