A deep dive into the rising threat of terrorism in the U.S. reveals alarming links to global conflicts and domestic vulnerabilities. Experts discuss the implications of recent attacks and the challenges facing a future presidential administration. The conversation shifts to President Jimmy Carter’s impactful legacy, encompassing his post-presidential contributions to peace and human rights. Finally, economic trends leading into 2025 spark curiosity about the financial landscape and emerging markets.
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Quick takeaways
The resurgence of Islamic groups and the ease of radicalization highlight an alarming increase in the threat of terrorism in the U.S.
As Trump navigates foreign policy challenges, potential negotiations over Ukraine signify an opportunity amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Deep dives
The Rise of Red States and the Crisis of Progressive Governance
Recent trends indicate a growing dissatisfaction with left-leaning governance, as evidenced by electoral shifts in several countries. Voters express frustration with increased taxes and regulations without corresponding improvements in services, contributing to the decline of left parties. New York and Florida exemplify this divide, with New York's high spending yielding poor outcomes in areas like homeownership and education, while Florida's more restrained approach shows better performance metrics. The exit of residents from high-tax blue states to more business-friendly red states is likely to reshape the political landscape, favoring Republican representation in the future.
Terrorism Threats and Emerging Patterns
Recent discussions highlight the increased danger posed by terrorism, particularly noting the alarming resurgence of Islamic groups in unstable regions. The FBI has raised concerns about lone-wolf attacks inspired by radical ideologies, emphasizing the need for vigilance against both individually plotted and organized acts of terrorism. Factors such as geopolitical chaos in the Middle East and the normalization of violence have contributed to this heightened risk. With more individuals potentially radicalized, the channels for orchestrating attacks have become easier, showcasing a concerning trend in the contemporary threat landscape.
Trump's Foreign Policy Challenges and Opportunities
As Donald Trump prepares for his second presidency, he faces significant foreign policy challenges, particularly in Ukraine and the Middle East. Experts believe there may be an opportunity for negotiation regarding Ukraine, as both the U.S. and Ukraine seem open to compromise amidst a backdrop of ongoing conflict. However, the extent of Trump's commitment to uphold longstanding U.S. alliances, especially with Taiwan, remains uncertain, revealing a potential split within his administration. Examining Russia's position, analysts caution against a simplistic view that overlooks Putin's willingness or inability to negotiate effectively, affecting U.S. strategy moving forward.
Economic Predictions: Shifting Dynamics for 2025
The future of the global economy is under scrutiny, particularly with predictions indicating a potential decline in the U.S. stock market's outperformance. Concerns arise from America's unsustainable debt levels, which are projected to impact its economic superiority. Meanwhile, emerging markets, such as Argentina and India, show promise, alongside undervalued assets in China amid widespread bearish sentiment. As AI continues to be heralded as a transformative technology, skepticism exists regarding whether established firms will ultimately reap the rewards, hinting at a landscape that may favor new entrants over traditional giants.
In the wake of the New Orleans truck attack, Fareed is joined by Harvard professor of government Graham Allison to discuss what he believes to be a growing threat of terrorism in the United States, and the domestic and international factors at play.
Next, Fareed speaks with Kori Schake, director of foreign and defense policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute, and Richard Haass, president emeritus of the Council on Foreign Relations, about the foreign policy challenges facing incoming President Donald Trump, and the areas in which his administration might be able to make progress, from Ukraine to Iran to China.
Then, President Jimmy Carter’s former chief speechwriter James Fallows joins the show to discuss the late president’s legacy, including his post-presidency.
Finally, Ruchir Sharma, chairman of Rockefeller International, tells Fareed what financial trends he will be watching for in 2025.
GUESTS: Graham Allison (@GrahamTAllison), Kori Schake, Richard Haass (@RichardHaass), James Fallows, Ruchir Sharma