The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Sharp or Square - SHARP NFL Week 3 Bets: Cowboys-Bears, Chiefs-Giants, Rams-Eagles, Steelers-Patriots & more

Sep 19, 2025
In the latest discussion, expert bettor Chad Millman and pro gambler Simon Hunter focus on the top NFL Week 3 betting lines. They dive into matchups like the Cowboys at Bears and Chiefs against Giants, with insightful analysis on underdog trends. The pair highlights Daniel Jones' impressive start and Jonathan Taylor's favorable matchup versus the Titans' defense. They also strategize over moneyline parlays and Survivor picks, offering listeners tips on how to maximize their betting potential this week.
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INSIGHT

Week-Three Road Divisional Dog Trend

  • Early-season road divisional dogs that were 0-2 ATS hit around 80% since 2003 in similar spots.
  • Professionals were strongly backing Dolphins, Texans, and Denver because the trend signals value.
ADVICE

Back Early-Season Home Dogs ≥7

  • Bet home dogs greater than seven points early in the season: since 2020 they covered heavily.
  • Use the trend cautiously early, but this exact spot has been historically profitable recently.
ADVICE

Exploit Texans Value As Divisional Dog

  • Take the Texans as a divisional dog versus Jacksonville when the line shows value and public perception is low.
  • Shop for two or two-and-a-half points because the line bounced and offers clear edge at those numbers.
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