Expert in immigration policy and crime rates, Alex Nowrasteh discusses data from Texas on immigrant crime rates. Lower criminal conviction rates for immigrants compared to native-born Americans. Analysis of trends in immigrant crime rates over time and challenges common narrative of immigrant criminality in the media.
Immigrants in Texas have lower crime rates than native-born Americans, with illegal immigrants 26% below in homicide convictions.
Immigrants exhibit a selection effect driven by economic prospects, coupled with stringent background checks, leading to lower crime rates.
Deep dives
Immigrant Crime Rates in Texas vs. Native-born Americans
Immigrants, both legal and illegal, in Texas have lower crime rates compared to native-born Americans. Data from the Texas Department of Public Safety show that illegal immigrants have a criminal conviction rate 26% below that of native-born Americans for homicide, while legal immigrants have a 61% lower conviction rate. This pattern has remained consistent over the years, with the convictions for all groups dropping in 2020 and 2021 due to the pandemic. The arrest rates also follow this trend, indicating that immigrants, driven by the potential consequences on their immigration status, are less likely to commit crimes.
Focus on Homicide Data and Immigration Selection Effect
The focus on homicide data in Texas serves as a robust indicator of the broader impact of immigration on crime rates. Homicide data provide a clear comparison between illegal immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born Americans. The research highlights a selection effect where individuals seeking to immigrate to the US are motivated by long-term economic prospects, making them less likely to engage in criminal activities. This, coupled with the stringent checks on criminal backgrounds for immigrants, contributes to lower crime rates among immigrants compared to native-born Americans.