Explore the surprising shift in communication between secretive intelligence agencies of China and the US. Delve into espionage tactics, motives behind recent disclosures, the risks and rewards of intelligence disclosure, controversies surrounding the US-China China initiative, and the parallels and shifts in US-China relations.
China utilizes extensive covert methods to gather intelligence, including the 'thousand grains of sand' and 'fish at the bottom of the sea' approaches.
Spy agencies, like the CIA and China's Ministry of State Security, strategically reveal their activities to safeguard reputation, gain political support, and showcase rivalry with other intelligence agencies.
Deep dives
Methods of Spying: China's Thousand Grains of Sand Approach
China employs various methods in spying, such as the 'thousand grains of sand' approach, which involves using students, businessmen, and tourists to gather intelligence. They blanket the field with operatives and do not worry about losing some or being caught. Another method is 'fish at the bottom of the sea,' as seen in the case of the grad student G. Chautun. China recruits individuals and places them strategically to gain intelligence. Both the US and China are engaged in a full-blown spy versus spy situation.
Why Spies Are Disclosing Their Work
Spy agencies, such as the CIA and China's Ministry of State Security, are increasingly revealing their activities due to various reasons. The presence of social media and open-source information has made it necessary for spies to have an online presence to avoid suspicion. Additionally, disclosing their work helps them appear effective and gain political support. It can also serve as a response to recover from past embarrassments or showcase rivalry with other intelligence agencies. However, these disclosures are strategic and do not reveal everything.
Risks and Consequences of Disclosing Spy Activities
While there are potential rewards associated with publicizing spy activities, there are also risks and negative consequences. The large volume of intelligence gathered in China's 'thousand grains of sand' approach can lead to diluted and unreliable information. The US-China espionage tensions can lead to targeting of innocent individuals, impacting Asian Americans and Chinese Americans. Publicizing spy cases can create collateral damage, affecting scientific collaborations and foreign investments. Espionage tactics are evolving in the era of AI and quantum computing. Experts see similarities between the current situation and the Cold War, with the focus shifting to high-tech domains.
Intelligence agencies in the US and China have apparently become intentionally more visible than ever. But why? Post US deputy bureau chief Mark Magnier explains what’s going behind the strategic leaks and veneer of transparency, and what they reveal about bilateral relations between the two superpowers.
Read Mark’s full story here: https://sc.mp/chcv
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