Call Me Back - with Dan Senor

Is Iran Planning to Preemptively Strike Israel? (INSIDE Call me Back sneak peek)

27 snips
Jan 31, 2026
Nadav Eyal, Israeli journalist and commentator known for regional security analysis, answers listener questions about Iran’s strategic calculus. He discusses fears Iran could strike Israel first, why Tehran may reject U.S. demands, and how regime change or covert contacts factor into strategy. He also covers U.S.–Israel coordination and the objectives behind possible strikes.
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INSIGHT

Iran Might Strike First Against Israel

  • Israeli officials fear Iran may launch a preemptive strike on Israel to seize the initiative and gain regional prestige.
  • Nadav Eyal argues this is likely a miscalculation by Iran driven by feeling cornered after the June attack.
INSIGHT

Leadership Rigidity Limits Iranian Compromise

  • Nadav Eyal emphasizes Iran's leadership rigidity under the current Supreme Leader reduces their willingness to accept tough U.S. demands.
  • He contrasts this with Khomeini's past pragmatism, suggesting internal regime change would be needed to 'get to yes.'
INSIGHT

Striking Israel Changes The Political Narrative

  • Striking Israel rather than the U.S. has political logic: it forces the U.S. to act in defense of an ally and changes the narrative.
  • Nadav calls this Iranian calculus a miscalculation even if understandable from their perspective.
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