

The IDF’s 10/7 Probe - with Amos Harel & Nadav Eyal
23 snips Mar 3, 2025
Amos Harel, a Defense Analyst at Haaretz, and Nadav Eyal, a Senior Political Analyst at Yediot Achronot, dive into the IDF's investigation of military failures surrounding the October 7 Hamas attack. They discuss critical intelligence oversights, the shocking underestimation of Hamas's capabilities, and the challenges of military decision-making during routine threats. The conversation also touches on the importance of accountability and lessons from historical military lapses, highlighting urgent needs for reform within the Israeli defense system.
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Misjudged Immediacy of Threat
- Between 10-11 PM on October 6th, Israel noticed concerning signs from Hamas, like the use of Israeli SIM cards.
- Despite discussions and theories, the IDF and Shin Bet waited for more information, misjudging the immediacy of the threat.
Weekend Vacations and Underestimation
- The IDF's practice of allowing soldiers weekend vacations resulted in only 50% of the force being present on Shabbat.
- This, combined with underestimating Hamas and prioritizing other threats, left them vulnerable.
Halevi's Note and IDF Inaction
- IDF Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi, upon being woken up, wrote "Do not assume this is nothing."
- Despite this, the IDF and Shin Bet didn't connect the dots, assuming Hamas was in routine and the situation wasn't immediate.