Bloomberg Surveillance

Market Rises amid Policy Uncertainty

Jun 27, 2025
Neil Dutta, Head of US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro, shares insights on recent economic data and its effects on stocks, particularly amid expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. James Steel, Chief Commodities Analyst at HSBC, discusses gold's record highs and the influence of geopolitical factors on precious metals. Freya Beamish, Chief Economist at TS Lombard, highlights signals from the global bond market and the resilience of the US economy, exploring the complexities of trade dynamics and currency implications.
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INSIGHT

Stock Market Optimism vs Caution

  • Stock market gains reflect higher earnings estimates and lower interest rates.
  • Economic data weakness may pressure future earnings despite current market optimism.
INSIGHT

Labor Market Deterioration Warning

  • U.S. economy shows labor market deterioration with rising unemployment claims.
  • Housing market weakness and rising unemployment risks may weigh on economic growth.
INSIGHT

Stagflation Signals

  • Core inflation remains around 2.1% indicating more "stag" than "flation".
  • Consumer resistance to higher prices may constrain future spending and GDP growth.
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