Bill Janeway: Investing in the Innovation Economy (EP.194)
Mar 31, 2022
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Bill Janeway, author of 'Doing Capitalism in the Innovation Economy', discusses the role of the state in innovation, venture capital operations, asset allocation for investors in innovative companies, reflections on financial bubbles, and insights into cryptocurrencies and decentralization.
Understanding the 'three-player game' concept highlights state involvement in innovation and venture capital's impact on technological progress.
Comparing venture capital returns to public equities reveals fluctuations, emphasizing the importance of effective fund management and market conditions.
Deep dives
Bill Janeway's Experience and Insights in Technological Revolutions and Investments
Bill Janeway, a well-respected authority in technological revolutions, shares his unique journey from academia to venture capitalism. Analyzing the historical impact of technology, he highlights the critical role of the state as a collaborative customer in funding transformative technologies like the internet. Janeway's concept of the 'three-player game' underscores the dynamic interaction between state-driven programs, financial speculation, and innovation.
Significance of Venture Capital in Driving Innovation
Janeway delves into the evolution of venture capital over the past 40 years, showcasing its vital role in fostering high-risk investments. He emphasizes the treatment effect of venture capital funding on companies, leading to accelerated growth, patent filings, and overall success. Acknowledging the persistence in returns among venture capitalists, Janeway highlights the importance of effective fund management and the impact on entrepreneurial outcomes.
Comparative Analysis of VC Returns and Public Equities
Janeway compares the historical performance of venture capital returns to public equities, noting fluctuations in returns over different periods. He discusses the impact of market dynamics, such as the dot-com bubble, on venture returns and highlights the recent trends showing venture returns aligning with or outperforming public markets. Janeway emphasizes the variability in VC returns and the influence of market conditions on overall asset performance.
Challenges and Opportunities in the Crypto Landscape
Janeway provides a critical analysis of the crypto landscape, emphasizing the trade-offs between decentralization and performance in blockchain technology. He discusses the need for regulatory frameworks and liquidity providers in the crypto market, highlighting the evolving nature of smart contracts and their implications for economic transactions. Janeway explores the potential of crypto assets as a technological revolution and the ongoing debates surrounding their economic significance.
When it comes to the uncertain future of financial markets and technological innovation, a deep understanding of history and the roots of the systems at play in our contemporary climate is often overlooked. This is the argument made by Bill Janeway, our guest on the show today and the author of Doing Capitalism in the Innovation Economy. We have a fascinating conversation with Bill who has vast experience in both the academic and venture capital spheres, having spent years working in both sectors. Bill does an amazing job of sharing his expertise, talking about the role of the state in innovation, how venture capital actually operates, and what the innovation economy means for those who are not on the vanguard of technological progress. We discuss how investors can think about allocating their assets in relation to innovative companies, Bill's reflections and advice regarding financial bubbles, and how Bill applies his understanding to current questions about cryptocurrencies and decentralization. Bill's lifelong passion and commitment to learning about the history of economics and the financial markets makes him a deeply valuable resource and having him on the show was so illuminating, we hope you enjoy the conversation as much as we did.
Key Points From This Episode:
Bill explains his concept of the 'three-player game' and how it brings together two important histories. [0:03:13]
The role of venture capital in technological innovation in the last 50 years. [0:05:16]
Findings on the returns experienced by entrepreneurs in light of VC structures. [0:10:22]
Thinking about venture capital as a private investor; best approaches for asset allocation. [0:15:05]
Investing in innovation and assessing secondary market public equity benefits. [0:20:02]
Bill explores the relationship between innovation and financial bubbles. [0:31:43]
Waste and innovation; what we should expect as we progress. [0:35:43]
The people left behind by innovation; who has taken the role of trade unions? [0:41:09]
Bill weighs in on the question of cryptocurrencies and their place in the conversation about innovation. [0:45:38]
Investment in crypto from big firms; separating the 'adults' from the crooks. [0:51:36]
Why a deep understanding of history is paramount to sustainable innovation. [0:53:10]
Bill's personal definition of success; staying motivated for work! [0:55:15]
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