TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast

#610: The Basis Trade That Could Crash Everything with James Lavish

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Apr 23, 2025
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INSIGHT

Need for Financial Literacy

  • Financial literacy is critically lacking across all education levels, even MBA programs.
  • Simplifying complex financial concepts empowers people to better manage wealth and understand economic events.
INSIGHT

Treasuries Aren't Risk-Free

  • Bonds are traditionally seen as safer than stocks, but recent inflation and rate hikes have devastated bond holders.
  • The "risk-free" U.S. Treasury is not truly risk-free due to inflation debasing the currency daily.
ANECDOTE

History of Basis Trade Crisis

  • In 1998, Long-Term Capital Management used extreme leverage on basis trades that led to a market crisis.
  • The Fed orchestrated a bailout of Goldman Sachs to prevent systemic collapse due to intertwined risks.
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