Big Take Where US-Russia Talks Leave Ukraine
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Dec 1, 2025 Nick Wadhams, Bloomberg's national security expert, dives deep into the complex U.S.-Russia-Ukraine relations. He discusses the recent diplomatic moves, with Trump envoy Steve Witkoff in Moscow and Zelensky in France, highlighting Russia's current battlefield advantages. Wadhams reveals insights into the evolving peace plan and key incentives, as well as Zelensky's urgent appeals for military support from Europe. The conversation sheds light on the intricate balance of power and the challenges Ukraine faces moving forward.
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Russia's Battlefield Edge
- Russia currently holds the battlefield advantage with slow but steady gains against Ukraine.
- Longer conflict timelines favor Russia due to larger manpower, economy, and sustainment capacity.
Fundamental Dealbreaker Between Sides
- The central gap is whether Ukraine remains a full sovereign state or a limited rump state under Russian constraints.
- Russia demands caps on Ukraine's military, neutrality, and territorial concessions that Ukraine calls an absolute red line.
U.S. Envoy's Unusual Tone
- The Witkoff call showed an unusually accommodating U.S. posture toward Russia compared with past administrations.
- Steve Witkoff coached Russians on how to win Trump's favor, reflecting a friendlier U.S. approach to Moscow.