The State of the Housing Market With ResiClub's Lance Lambert
Nov 22, 2023
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Lance Lambert, Resi Club's expert, discusses the unconventional housing market, regional variations in the housing market, affordability challenges, differing opinions on housing supply and shortage, factors driving housing prices, and a major court ruling on collusion among realtors.
The housing market has seen a deterioration in affordability, reaching its lowest levels since the mid-80s, due to factors such as historic price overheating and rapid mortgage rate increases.
Regional variations within the housing market have led to price corrections in high-demand areas like San Francisco and Seattle, while markets in the Northeast and Midwest, such as Hartford, Connecticut, have continued to experience price appreciation.
Deep dives
Housing Market Overview
The podcast episode delves into the state of the housing market, particularly in the residential sector, and explores the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. It covers topics such as affordability, supply, and regional variations across the United States. The interview with housing expert Lance Lambert provides insights into the market trends and the impact of low interest rates on housing demand. The discussion also touches on specific geographical areas, including Austin and Seattle, and highlights the importance of understanding regional data and absorption rates in analyzing housing market dynamics.
Housing Affordability Challenges
The episode highlights the deterioration of housing affordability, as homes have become increasingly expensive compared to incomes and mortgage rates. The speaker explains that affordability is at its lowest level since the mid-80s, and discusses the factors contributing to this decline, such as the historic overheating of prices and the rapid rise in mortgage rates. They emphasize the importance of considering the interplay between incomes, prices, and rates to understand the real estate market, and discuss the challenges faced by buyers in markets like Austin, where prices fell while months of inventory suggested a seller's market.
Regional Variations in the Housing Market
The podcast episode explores the regional variations within the housing market. It discusses how different areas across the United States have been influenced by various factors, such as price appreciation, supply-demand dynamics, and shifts in buyer preferences. The speaker highlights that markets on the West Coast, like San Francisco and Seattle, experienced price corrections due to elevated demand and affordability pressures. On the other hand, markets in the Northeast and Midwest, such as Hartford, Connecticut, have seen continued price appreciation. The episode also notes the impact of changing work-from-home trends and the implications for housing demand in different regions.
Implications of Lawsuits on the Real Estate Industry
The podcast discusses the recent high-profile lawsuit against the National Association of Realtors, Keller Williams, and Home Services of America, which alleged collusion to inflate commissions. The speaker underscores the potential consequences of the lawsuit, which awarded significant damages to the plaintiffs. They predict that this ruling may set a precedent and lead to more lawsuits within the real estate industry. The episode highlights the uncertainty surrounding the impact on real estate prices and the potential for unintended consequences as the legal battle unfolds.
The old rules of thumb don't work for this housing market. Lance walks us through why he believes this and what he is seeing in the housing data across the United States. Listen as Brett and Ryan ask questions about the industry. Enjoy the show!
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Timestamps
Lance Lambert | (2:02)
Regional Data | (11:55)
Affordability | (22:52)
Disclosure: Chit Chat Money hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation.
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