My Dream Alliance for the US - Part 1 || Peter Zeihan
Jan 14, 2025
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Exploring an ideal U.S. alliance framework, the discussion emphasizes the 'Grand Honky Alliance' among Anglo states, stressing their naval and intelligence strengths. Emerging partnerships with countries like Mexico and Vietnam are highlighted as key players in a changing world. The need for a robust U.S.-Mexico partnership goes beyond trade, embracing cultural and financial collaborations. Potential alliances with Japan and France are also considered, showcasing how technology will reshape global alliances.
The Grand Honky Alliance, comprising stable English-speaking nations, enhances defense and strategic collaboration through shared cultural and naval strengths.
Emerging partnerships with Mexico and Vietnam are vital for the U.S. as they offer economic opportunities and favorable security environments.
Deep dives
The Grand Honky Alliance
The ideal U.S. alliance system is anchored in what is termed the Grand Honky Alliance, consisting of the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, and New Zealand. These nations share not only a common English cultural background but also significant naval capabilities, allowing them to defend themselves more effectively compared to land powers. This alliance also benefits from a long-standing history of intelligence sharing through the Five Eyes agreement, which enhances strategic decision-making across these countries. In a global context marked by deglobalization and aging populations, this alliance presents a strong consumption-driven economic growth model that is crucial for collective success.
Emerging Partners: Mexico and Vietnam
Mexico and Vietnam are highlighted as promising emerging partners for the U.S. due to their strong trading relationships and favorable demographic trends. Both countries are already among the top trading partners of the U.S., with Mexico holding the number one position, and their security environments pose limited threats from other nations. The podcast suggests that a broader dialogue with Mexico is essential, addressing not just trade but also aspects such as culture, finance, and infrastructure, to enhance their historically strong economic relationship. For Vietnam, its geographical advantages provide further security, making it a viable partner for future collaboration.
When I picture my ideal US alliance system, I focus on stable, secure, and economically complementary countries. Part one of this two-part series focuses on the "safe" bets.