Investor Julian Lin discusses Reddit as his top conviction idea post-IPO quiet period. Analysts' opinions vary, comparing Reddit to Meta. Reddit close to profitability, Sam Altman's involvement noted. Analysis of tech companies' performances and valuations, including revenue metrics and monetization strategies.
Reddit's under-monetization presents potential for revenue growth and re-rating by investors.
Strong user growth, improved revenue per user, and cost discipline are critical for Reddit's profitability and growth trajectory.
Deep dives
Reddit IPO and its Potential as a High Conviction Investment
Reddit recently IPO'd, viewed by many as a meme stock due to its origins on Wall Street Bets subreddit. Despite negative sentiment, the speaker sees it as a top conviction idea, citing potential for growth and re-rating. Reddit's under-monetized nature compared to other tech giants like Meta platforms presents an opportunity for accelerated revenue growth and re-rating by investors.
Analyst Reactions and Growth Expectations for Reddit
Analyst ratings on Reddit vary from holds to strong buys, indicating mixed sentiments. While some coverage underestimates Reddit's quality and growth potential, the speaker believes consensus estimates are conservative. They anticipate strong revenue growth and view Reddit's under-monetization as a catalyst for a potential re-rating in the stock.
Future Prospects, Profitability, and Competitive Positioning of Reddit
Critical factors for bullishness on Reddit include sustained user growth, improved average revenue per user, and continued cost discipline leading to potential profitability. The platform's consolidation of forums and focus on generative AI for translation suggests a path for international growth. The speaker foresees Reddit as a competitive force benefiting from its distinct features, which could drive its re-rating and growth trajectory.
Julian Lin goes in-depth on his top conviction idea, Reddit (0:30). IPO quiet period recently ended, analysts' uneven coverage (4:15). Meta and Reddit - a valid comparison? (6:25). How to measure Reddit within the broader tech picture (10:30). Upcoming earnings (13:50). Sam Altman as major shareholder; curious insider IPO non-selling (16:25). Reddit very close to generating profitability (23:00). Recent large cap tech earnings (27:10).
For full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores as well as dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode