Ben Miller, Co-founder and CEO of Fundrise, discusses the slow reaction times from the Federal Reserve and their impact on the economy. They also explore the home equity buffer and opportunities in innovative investing. The conversation touches on the AI boom in private markets and start-ups.
The lag effect in monetary policy leads to a delayed economic impact and inflation may decrease more than projected.
The democratization of venture capital allows individuals to invest in AI and other tech companies, expanding opportunities for private market investments.
Deep dives
The Great Deleveraging and the Impact of Higher Interest Rates on Debt
The podcast discusses the concept of the great deleveraging, which refers to the excessive debt buildup resulting from zero interest rate policy and quantitative easing. As interest rates rise, individuals and companies are facing challenges in paying down their debt, which leads to a reduction in leverage in the system. This deleveraging process has the potential to impact trillions of dollars in debt. The podcast suggests that higher interest rates and the great deleveraging may have a more significant impact on the economy than initially anticipated.
The Lag Effect in Monetary Policy and Its Implications
The podcast highlights the lag effect in monetary policy, which means that the impact of rate hikes and tightening monetary policy is not immediately seen in the economy. This lag effect can be longer than expected, sometimes taking up to two years to manifest fully. The podcast suggests that the lag effect from recent interest rate hikes will likely lead to a slower economic impact, and inflation may decrease more than initially projected. It also indicates that the Federal Reserve's actions are typically slow due to institutional biases, which further prolongs the lag in the economy.
The Opportunities and Challenges in AI Investing and the Democratization of Venture Capital
The podcast explores the opportunities in artificial intelligence (AI) investing, which is considered a generational breakthrough that has tremendous growth potential. While AI investments mostly happen in the private market, the podcast highlights the concern that individual investors traditionally had limited access to these opportunities. However, with the democratization of venture capital, innovative platforms like the one discussed in the podcast make it possible for individuals to invest in AI and other tech companies. The speaker emphasizes the importance of being agnostic about investing in public or private companies, as private investments provide a wealth of information and potential long-term holding opportunities even after they go public. The podcast also mentions specific investments in companies like Databricks and Canva as examples of promising AI ventures.
The Federal Reserve may act on a forward looking basis, but the bank isn’t always quick in action.
Ben Miller is the co-founder and CEO of Fundrise, a real estate investment platform. Deidre Woollard caught up with Miller to discuss:
- How slow reaction times from the Fed impact the economy. - The home equity buffer. - Opportunities in innovative investing. - The AI boom in private markets and start-ups.
Company discussed: NVDA
Host: Deidre Woollard Guest: Ben Miller Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineer: Rick Engdahl