Making Markets

Jack Neureuter: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and an Institutional Perspective - [Web3 Breakdowns, EP.84]

Aug 25, 2023
Senior Research Analyst at Fidelity Digital Assets, Jack Neureuter, discusses Bitcoin cycles, the Taproot upgrade, the XRP court case, and institutional perspectives on allocating to crypto. They also explore Bitcoin's price movement and halving event, surprise classification of XRP as a security, allocating Bitcoin in portfolios, including cryptocurrencies in traditional portfolio optimization frameworks, and Ethereum's development and regulatory clarity.
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INSIGHT

Bitcoin Cycles Mirror Past Patterns

  • Bitcoin's historical four-year halving cycles still shape price patterns and on-chain behavior.
  • Macro factors like real interest rates can break the pattern and act as significant headwinds.
INSIGHT

Halving's Diminishing Direct Impact

  • The halving reduces issuance but its marginal impact diminishes as Bitcoin's inflation rate shrinks.
  • Narrative and exogenous liquidity (e.g., central bank actions) may drive price as much as issuance changes.
INSIGHT

On-Chain Accumulators Dominate Supply

  • On-chain metrics show strong Bitcoin accumulation: accumulation addresses and dormant supply are at all-time highs.
  • Around 70% of supply hasn't moved in a year, indicating long-term hodling behavior.
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