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The Burn Bag Podcast

Top Risks 2023: Ian Bremmer, President of the Eurasia Group, Forecasts New Year's Geopolitical Outlook

Feb 1, 2023
39:05

For the third year in a row, The Burn Bag hosted Eurasia Group President Ian Bremmer (@ianbremmer) to discuss his Top Risks 2023 Report -- a forecast of the top geopolitical risks most likely to play out over the coming year. A'ndre Gonawela spoke with Ian at length about the report's #1 risk, "Rogue Russia", and why Ian believes that it is the most dangerous risk he has forecast ever in his time doing the Top Risk reports. Ian also provides his thoughts on why his #2 risk, China's Xi Jinping, was able to resist the blowback of his Zero-COVID policies and emerge as the strongest Chinese leader since Mao Zedong. We dip into some conversation on artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies, which the report terms as 'weapons of mass disruption,' and how they might impact democracy detrimentally. Next, Ian discusses his optimism that inflation may be easing, while giving a foreboding prediction that inevitable fuel price surges will significantly impact the developing world's economic burdens. We also talk about why U.S. political dysfunction is ranked lower on this year's list as opposed to the high rankings afforded in 2021 and 2022, why Generation Z is the #9 risk, and what Ian means when he asserts that 'Water Stress' is the tenth highest risk.

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