As pandemic bills come due, are Canada's small businesses in danger?
Feb 12, 2024
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With small business insolvencies at record levels and pandemic relief loans coming due, the future of Canada's independent businesses is uncertain. The podcast explores the challenges faced by small businesses, the government's refusal to extend loan repayment deadlines, and the impact of businesses closing on our neighborhoods. The episode highlights the various government programs implemented during the pandemic, the concerns and low optimism among small business owners, and the importance of preserving small businesses with government action and community support.
The government support programs introduced during the pandemic were crucial for preventing mass closures and layoffs in small businesses.
The challenges faced by small businesses post-reopening, such as reduced foot traffic, inflation, and changing consumer behavior, have created an uncertain outlook for their recovery.
Deep dives
Government support programs for small businesses during the pandemic
During the early stages of the pandemic, the government introduced various support programs for businesses. These included the wage subsidy, which started at 10% and eventually climbed to 75% to assist businesses struggling with reduced foot traffic. Other programs included the individual benefit known as SERB, a rental assistance program for small businesses, and the SIBA loan, which provided up to $40,000 to help bridge the gap during closures. These programs were crucial for small businesses' survival, preventing mass closures and layoffs.
Challenges and changes faced upon reopening
Upon reopening, businesses faced significant challenges and changes in consumer behavior. The shift to hybrid work and remote work reduced foot traffic in downtown areas, impacting businesses such as dry cleaners and restaurants. Additionally, the cost of living crisis and inflation affected consumer spending, leading to fewer dining out experiences. The psychological and financial reality of reopening differed from what businesses closed to before the pandemic. These changes created an uncertain outlook for small businesses and impacted their ability to recover fully.
Concerns and impact on small businesses in 2023 and beyond
As government support programs phased out in 2022, small businesses faced an array of challenges in 2023. Optimism among small business owners decreased due to increasing interest rates, the affordability crisis, and lingering pandemic-related debt. Many businesses struggled to reach pre-pandemic revenue levels, and foot traffic in office towers remained low. Insolvencies and bankruptcy rates increased compared to previous years, representing the lasting impact of lockdowns on businesses. The future of small businesses remains uncertain, with concerns about debt repayment, changing consumer behavior, and ongoing financial pressures.
Last year, small business insolvencies hit a level not seen in more than a decade. And that was before this January's deadline to repay pandemic relief loans in order to have some portion of them forgiven. Most businesses haven't seen pre-pandemic levels of business return—and inflation coupled with high interest rates mean consumers have less and less money to spend.
How precarious are the independent businesses in your neighbourhood right now? If they close up shop, will anything replace them? Why has the government declined to extend loan repayment further? And what happens to our neighbourhoods if these businesses keep vanishing?
GUEST: Ryan Mallough, Ontario vice president with the Canadian Federation of Independent Business
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