Soar Financially

Fed Under Fire, Gold Explodes — The Bond Market Takes Over | Bill Fleckenstein

Jan 13, 2026
Bill Fleckenstein, founder of Fleckenstein Capital and a macroeconomic expert, delves into the current financial landscape. He reveals that inflation remains a hidden stressor, complicating the economy. The discussion highlights the distortions created by passive investing and how the bond market is losing faith in the Federal Reserve. Fleckenstein also emphasizes the surge in gold and silver prices as a response to declining currency confidence and critiques the Fed's credibility issues, urging a reevaluation of asset allocations.
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INSIGHT

Passive Bid Props Up Market Structure

  • Passive index flows have become a dominant mechanical force that props up US equity prices daily.
  • Bill Fleckenstein says this passive bid mutes normal market reactions and helps explain stretched valuations.
ADVICE

Monitor Flows, Not Just Valuations

  • Watch employment and retirement redemptions as triggers that could reverse passive inflows.
  • If inflows neutralize or become outflows, the passive bid would collapse and markets would reprice aggressively.
INSIGHT

American Demand Could Ignite Metals

  • A material shift into gold would divert significant capital away from bonds and boost metals and miners.
  • Fleckenstein notes American retail participation remains the missing ingredient for a true metals sprint.
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