The Briefing Room What is Putin's bottom line?
8 snips
Mar 27, 2025 
Vitaly Shevchenko, Russia editor for BBC Monitoring, discusses the complex historical ties between Russia and Ukraine. Sir Laurie Bristow, former U.K. ambassador to Russia, shares insights on misjudging Putin's aggressive intentions. Angela Stent, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, addresses the economic and psychological toll of the war on Russia. The guests examine the challenges of securing peace, the implications of Western responses, and what Putin might ultimately accept in negotiations.
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Putin's Shifting Stance
- Putin's view of Ukraine has evolved from tolerance to aggression.
- This shift occurred when Ukraine pursued true independence, rejecting client-state status.
Escalation to Aggression
- Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014 and operations in eastern Ukraine stemmed from this desire for control.
- Putin's aggression escalated when Ukraine sought closer ties with the West.
Miscalculations and Echo Chambers
- Putin's invasion was seen as reckless by many, but his inner circle reinforced his views.
- He believed Ukraine was weak and would not resist.