The Times of Israel Daily Briefing Day 813 - Ahmed Fouad Alkhatib: Five likely scenarios for Gaza in 2026
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Dec 27, 2025 Joining the conversation is Ahmed Fouad Alkhatib, head of Realign For Palestine, an initiative aimed at reshaping Israel-Palestine discussions. He explores five scenarios that could reshape Gaza by 2026, including possible internal mutiny within Hamas driven by economic struggles, the rise of anti-Hamas militias, large civilian protests, and potential mass exodus of residents into Israeli-controlled areas. Alkhatib also discusses the implications of deploying an international stabilization force to demilitarize Hamas, highlighting the complexity of the situation.
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Why Gazans Risk Crossing The Yellow Line
- Gazans cross the yellow line for homes, belongings, or to escape Hamas-controlled zones.
- Many also hope to reach IDF areas anticipating asylum or international force arrival.
Hamas Under Economic And Moral Pressure
- Hamas faces severe financial strain with heavy taxes on truckloads and low fighter pay.
- Economic collapse and demoralization could trigger internal fractures or mutiny in 2026.
Militias Filling The Power Vacuum
- Anti-Hamas militias in Israeli-controlled zones have grown more organized and tactically capable.
- These militias could become the primary external force to pressure Hamas if international action stalls.