Matt Warder talks coal markets: how does coal morph into AI play, election, $BTU, $CEIX $ARCH merger

Sep 26, 2024

Matt Warder, a coal market expert and returning guest, dives into the intricate world of coal in the context of AI technology and politics. He discusses how coal's role is evolving amid rising energy demands, especially from AI data centers. Warder analyzes the upcoming elections' potential impact on the coal market and provides insights on the Peabody $BTU situation, as well as the $CEIX and $ARCH merger. He highlights the significance of met coal in current market dynamics and explores innovative strategies to unlock value in this sector.

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Intro

00:00 • 2min

Navigating the Coal Market Landscape

01:55 • 15min

Impact of Politics on Coal Markets

16:35 • 2min

Navigating Energy Production and Market Dynamics

18:32 • 3min

Coal's Future in AI and Sustainability

21:31 • 24min

Coal Market Dynamics and Management Strategies

45:06 • 9min

Unlocking Value in the Powder River Basin: Mining Insights and Financial Strategies

54:35 • 2min

Navigating Coal's Future

56:39 • 8min

Navigating Coal Markets: Strategies and Future Outlook

01:05:08 • 4min

Matt Warder, @mfwarder on Twitter/X, is back on the podcast to discuss all things Coal, including: overall thoughts on coal at this point September 2024, vision for coal with AI, met coal, upcoming election, Peabody $BTU 13D, $CEIX $ARCH merger and more!

You can Follow Matt Warder on Twitter/X @mfwarder: https://twitter.com/mfwarder

Matt Warder's first appearance on YAVP: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DF0uGS4swLM

Chapters:

[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Tegus

[2:31] Where we are in the overall coal market

[4:38] Coal for AI overview

[12:18] Overall supply/demand for Metallurgical "met" coal

[17:35] How does the election affect coal market

[21:31] Vision for Coal and AI, how does coal morph into an AI play

[30:26] AI arms race and building AI data centers, timeline to building this AI / Coal power play and how should folks think about new coal plants in America

[35:21] Final thoughts on AI and Coal

[38:31] Peabody $BTU 13D

[46:40] Peabody and Consol Energy / Arch Resource merger conference calls; why are management communicating this way

[49:16] Insider ownership in Coal stocks

[55:37] Other levers that could be pulled to unlock value in PRB

[59:38] How to think about met coal stocks right now and their performance

[1:03:21] $BTU corporate action ideas

[1:05:45] Comments on $CEIX $ARCH merger

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