FDD Events Podcast FDD Morning Brief | feat. Oded Ailam (Jan. 20)
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Jan 20, 2025 Oded Ailam, former head of the Terrorism Division at Mossad, shares his in-depth analysis of the ongoing Middle East conflict and the recent ceasefire. He discusses the complexities of hostage negotiations amid internal divisions in Israel, emphasizing a moral approach over military action. Ailam also addresses Iran and Russia's strategic partnership and its implications for regional stability, while exploring Qatar's role in negotiations involving Hamas. His insights shed light on the intricate dynamics shaping the geopolitical landscape.
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Trip to Israel
- Jonathan Schanzer describes his recent trip to Israel, which coincided with significant events in the conflict.
- These included a Houthi missile attack and news of an impending ceasefire and hostage exchange.
Concerns Over Prisoner Exchange
- Jonathan Schanzer expresses concern over the release of a large number of Palestinian terrorists in the exchange.
- He believes this sets a dangerous precedent and incentivizes future hostage-taking.
Prediction of Renewed Conflict
- Jonathan Schanzer predicts that Israel will likely return to conflict with Hamas after the initial phase of the ceasefire.
- He believes the Israeli government aims to dismantle Hamas and will reject further lopsided exchanges.