Real estate investor J Scott, YouTube content creator Mauricio Rauld, entrepreneur AJ Osborne, and investment expert Kyle Wilson discuss their 2024 predictions in the housing market, including the best performing asset class and the impact of millennials on home ownership. They also touch on the potential of a recession, the significance of warehouses, and the future of AI technology. The speakers share their concerns about various issues that may arise, speculate on Travis Kelsey's relationship, and mention Taylor Swift.
Mortgage rates are predicted to slightly decrease by the end of 2024, potentially reaching around 5% and increasing the buyer pool.
Opinions are divided on home values, with some predicting a slight softening of 2-5% due to economic softening and excess supply, while others believe values will hold steady with minimal changes.
A recession is expected in the near future, with opinions differing on timing and severity, but it is anticipated to have a significant impact on the housing market with potential increase in excess supply and economic softening.
Deep dives
Mortgage rates
The panel predicts that mortgage rates will slightly decrease, with rates potentially reaching around 5% by the end of 2024. The expectation is that the softening of rates will increase the buyer pool.
Home values
The panel is divided on home values. Some predict a slight softening in home values due to economic softening and excess supply, with possible drops of 2-5%. Others believe that the housing market will remain resilient and home values will hold steady with minimal changes.
Recession
The panel predicts a recession in the near future, although opinions differ on the timing and severity of the recession. It is expected to have a significant impact on the housing market, with a potential increase in excess supply and economic softening.
Summary
The panel expects mortgage rates to slightly decrease, with the potential for rates around 5% by the end of 2024. Home values may experience a slight softening, but opinions vary on the extent of the impact. Additionally, a recession is predicted to occur, which could impact the housing market in various ways.
Podcast Episode Summary
The podcast episode discusses various topics including the possibility of a market correction, potential issues with the bank term funding program, the outlook on inflation, predictions for the stock market, and the future of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelsey's relationship. The episode also touches on the upcoming elections and features a debate on showering in the morning or at night. The hosts also plug various content including a YouTube channel, a newsletter, and the Drunk Real Estate Show website.