What Really Matters with Walter Russell Mead

Lurching Toward Hot War in Asia

23 snips
May 2, 2025
The discussion dives into the economic fallout of U.S.-China tariffs and their overlooked effects on China. A pivotal mineral deal between the Trump administration and Ukraine showcases the U.S.'s strategic interests amid rising tensions. Canada's political shift, led by Mark Carney's anti-Trump stance, is analyzed alongside the geopolitical strains between India and Pakistan. This backdrop raises questions about potential global conflicts involving America and China, while historical lessons from Byzantine dynamics offer intriguing insights into contemporary power struggles.
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INSIGHT

Trade War Impacts China More

  • The U.S.-China trade war hurts both but impacts China more deeply due to its economic structure and social challenges.
  • Media coverage tends to overlook the broader strategic implications of these economic struggles in China.
ADVICE

Focus on Long-Term China Trends

  • Avoid overreacting to short-term economic reports from China as they rarely shift long-term trajectories.
  • Focus on long-term trends and structural factors rather than daily headlines to understand China's real economic position.
INSIGHT

Pragmatic U.S.-Ukraine Mineral Deal

  • The new U.S.-Ukraine mineral deal aims for sustainable long-term support rather than aggressive aid escalations.
  • It reflects a pragmatic, less ambitious U.S. approach supporting Ukraine through economic leverage and security guarantees.
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