Arm Holdings Reports, Previewing China's April Trade Data
May 9, 2024
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Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia Edition features Kunjan Sobhani discussing Arm's revenue forecast and AI impact. Eric Zhu previews China's trade data, expecting positive growth in exports and imports. Julia Wang shares market outlook with insights on global equity markets and China-Japan trade relations.
ARM's revenue forecast impacted by market trends beyond AI, but long-term growth potential intact.
ARM's crucial role in software instruction licensing for chips offers market dominance and resilience during industry shifts.
Deep dives
ARM's Revenue Forecast and Market Reaction
ARM's stock fell around 8% after giving a lukewarm revenue forecast, raising concerns about slowing AI spending. However, this was not solely AI-related but driven by market trends affecting semiconductor companies. ARM's long-term growth story remains intact, especially due to their strong position in premium smartphones and increasing royalties from their V9 architecture.
ARM's Unique Position in the Semiconductor Industry
ARM's unique role lies in licensing instructions for software to communicate with chips, a crucial service utilized by most semiconductor companies and their customers. Their friendly and preferred status among industry players, including cloud providers, gives them a significant market share, particularly in smartphone and non-x86 architecture areas.
Market Sentiment and Structural Changes in AI and Semiconductors
Market sentiments towards high-flying AI stocks have led to price corrections, indicating a market reaction to high expectations. Structural changes in global AI adoption and semiconductor industries, such as AI-driven multiples and emerging technologies like GraphCorp, reflect ongoing shifts in market dynamics and valuation challenges. Despite short-term fluctuations, the fundamental outlook for equities and the semiconductor industry remains positive, driven by factors like artificial intelligence, structural changes, and economic stability.
Kunjan Sobhani, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Semiconductor Analyst, on Arm's earnings. Eric Zhu, Bloomberg Economist covering China and Hong Kong, with a look ahead at China's April trade data. Julia Wang, Executive Director and Global Market Strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank, shares her market outlook.