Economists Dean Baker, Paul Krugman, and financial journalist Stephanie Ruhle discuss the disconnect between positive economic data and public perception, Trump's economic policies and potential risks, the impact of high bond yields on the economy, the increase in rates and uncertainty, the impact of AI on the economy and society, and AI's effect on education and equality.
Strong economic growth is not translating into positive perceptions among Americans, which may impact the upcoming presidential election.
Concerns arise about inflation control and the potential impact of rising treasury yields, student loan repayments, and federal debt.
The introduction of AI raises concerns about job displacement and inequality, highlighting the need for regulation and ethical considerations.
Deep dives
Robust economic growth and low inflation
The US economy has shown remarkable growth, expanding at an annual rate of 4.9% in the third quarter, while inflation remains stable near the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. These benchmarks, coupled with low unemployment rates, are seen as incredible achievements and an indicator of a strong economy.
Public perception of the economy
Despite the strong economic performance, many Americans are not aware of the positive news and do not perceive the state of the nation to be well. The disconnect between overall economic growth and individual perceptions can have critical implications for the upcoming presidential election.
Interest rates and inflation
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates locked in place raises concerns about whether enough is being done to control inflation. The potential impact of rising treasury yields, student loan repayments, and trillions in federal debt also contribute to the complex economic landscape.
The impact of AI and automation
The introduction of artificial intelligence (AI) and automation in various industries has the potential to contribute to overall wealth generation, but it also raises concerns about job displacement and inequality. The long-term effects of AI on the economy and society are still uncertain, but there is a need for regulation and ethical considerations to ensure a positive impact.
Addressing inequality and shared prosperity
Efforts are underway to address income inequality and promote shared prosperity. Positive developments include the revitalization of the labor movement, the boost in wages for low-income workers, and the focus on affordable childcare and education. While progress has been made, there is still work to be done to create a more equal society.
Our semi-annual focus on economics with a stellar set of guests – Dean Baker, Paul Krugman, and Stephanie Ruhle – falls this week at the starkest of crossroads: economic news and bellwethers are stunningly good while American’s views of the state of the economy are stunningly bad. Our roundtable discusses these trends, along w/ several other important economic factors—including the impact of two wars-- before moving to thoughts about AI and where we are as a country with economic inequality.