Bloomberg Surveillance

Global Stocks Sell Off as US Tariffs Loom

Mar 31, 2025
Neil Dutta, Head of Macro Research at Renaissance Macro Research, delves into the impact of looming US tariffs on the economy, highlighting a staggering $5 trillion loss in market value. Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, questions the sustainability of bullish equities amid recession fears and tariff uncertainties. The discussion also touches on the interconnectedness of markets and investment strategies, emphasizing the importance of long-term views during periods of volatility.
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INSIGHT

Slow Nominal GDP Growth

  • Nominal GDP growth is currently below 4%.
  • Incomes growing slower than Fed funds rate signals excessively tight monetary policy.
INSIGHT

Tariffs as Revenue Source

  • Universal tariffs could generate substantial revenue, around $3.5 trillion over 10 years.
  • This suggests a shift from negotiation to revenue generation as the primary goal.
INSIGHT

Navarro's Influence on Tariffs

  • Peter Navarro is currently influencing tariff discussions within the White House.
  • Acceptance of tariffs seems to be a prerequisite for participation in the current administration.
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