Seema Shah, David Malpass, and Liz Ann Sonders discuss global macro outlook, US exceptionalism, US and global economies, government debt, markets, rate cuts pace, and the latest Bloomberg poll on the 2024 election, covering economic forecasting challenges, consumer sentiment, inflation impact, economic indicators, market trends, presidential polls analysis, campaign strategies, and the VP candidate's role in influencing voters.
Central banks adjust to changing economic data for accurate forecasting in response to COVID-driven shifts.
US economy faces challenges in achieving a soft landing due to market acceleration concerns and interest rate impacts.
Deep dives
Central Banks' Approach to Economic Data
Central banks, particularly the Fed, adapt to economic data changes, responding as data unfolds. Forecasting challenges arise due to COVID-driven economic shifts. Recent economic changes lead to recalibration for more accurate forecasting and reliance on new economic indicators.
Soft Landing Concerns in the US Economy
The US economy anticipates a soft landing amidst economic data changes. Factors like interest rates can impact housing market dynamics. Potential market acceleration concerns challenge the Federal Reserve's ability to achieve a sustained soft landing.
Biden's Polling Performance and Election Concerns
Biden faces close race in swing states like Michigan and Wisconsin. Voter fears of election violence and misinformation are prevalent. The poll highlights a mix of concerns including legal cases, election interference, and public sentiment towards Biden's performance.
Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyMay 22nd, 2024 Featuring:
Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, discusses her global macro outlook and US exceptionalism
David Malpass, former President at the World Bank, talks about the US and global economies as well as government debt
Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, talks markets and the pace of rate cuts
Laura Davison, Deputy US Politics Team Lead with Bloomberg News, breaks down the latest Bloomberg poll on the 2024 election