Call Me Back - with Dan Senor If Tehran Falls, What Then? - with Karim Sadjadpour
90 snips
Jan 12, 2026 
Karim Sadjadpour, an analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and an expert on Iran, delves into the current unrest shaking the nation. He discusses the expanding wave of protests and the regime's retaliatory tactics, like internet blackouts and lethal crackdowns. Sadjadpour highlights structural factors that could lead to a revolution while weighing the implications of U.S. involvement. He emphasizes the complexities of a post-regime Iran, including the roles of ethnic minorities and potential leadership dynamics.
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Nationwide Protests Despite Lethal Risk
- Millions of Iranians are protesting despite extreme repression and execution risks.
- Karim Sadjadpour says the crowds grew from thousands to tens of thousands and now span the country.
Restore Connectivity First
- Prioritize restoring communications to expose abuses and protect protesters.
- Karim urges lifting Iran's information blackout over military action as the most critical step.
Five Preconditions For Regime Collapse
- Five structural prerequisites for revolution now largely exist in Iran.
- Karim and Jack Goldstone list economic collapse, divided elites, cohesive opposition, shared narrative, and favorable international conditions.