We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

TIP650: Stock Market Bubbles, AI, & Climate Change w/ Jeremy Grantham

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Aug 9, 2024
Joining Clay Finck is Jeremy Grantham, co-founder and investment strategist at GMO, renowned for his insights on market history. Grantham shares his thoughts on the recent stock market rally and warns about indicators of a potential bear market. He compares today's market dynamics to past bubbles, discusses the risks of overvalued stocks, and delves into the implications of concentration among leading companies. Additionally, he highlights the urgent need for innovation in green energy to combat climate change.
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ANECDOTE

Early Career & Microcap Bubble

  • In 1968, Jeremy Grantham made exceptional returns in microcaps, particularly with American Raceways.
  • The stock tripled quickly due to the novelty of Formula One racing, but Grantham eventually lost most of his gains.
INSIGHT

Market Inefficiency

  • Markets are historically bad at predicting the future, with peak multiples often preceding the worst economic periods.
  • Examples include 1929, the Japanese market in 1989, and the 2008 financial crisis.
INSIGHT

AI and Market Rally

  • The 2023 market rally was primarily fueled by enthusiasm for AI and the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks.
  • AI is a serious development, but its impact on corporate profits and market attractiveness remains uncertain.
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