Doom Debates

Eben Pagan (aka David DeAngelo) Interviews Liron — Why 50% Chance AI Kills Everyone by 2050

9 snips
Oct 29, 2025
In this engaging discussion, Eben Pagan, an influential entrepreneur and business trainer known as David DeAngelo, dives into the chilling topic of AI risk. Liron presents a compelling case for a staggering 50% chance of existential doom by 2050. They explore the concept that AI doesn’t need to harbor malice to pose a threat, and discuss why superintelligence might lack an 'off switch.' With the urgency of international coordination emphasized, listeners are left questioning how the future of humanity hinges on our relationship with AI.
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INSIGHT

High Probability Of Near-Term Doom

  • Liron estimates a ~50% probability of human extinction from AI by 2050 based on expert consensus and trend analysis.
  • He argues the risk is large, discontinuous, and not captured by simple low-percentage reassurances.
INSIGHT

Top Experts Treat AI As Societal Risk

  • Many top AI leaders publicly signaled that extinction-level AI risk is a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war.
  • Liron uses this social proof to argue the mainstream expert community takes extinction risk seriously.
INSIGHT

AI As The Next Dominant Species

  • Liron frames AI as the "next species" that could outcompete humans like Europeans did to Native Americans.
  • He stresses intelligence, not muscle, gives species steering power over the future.
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