

Simon Kuznets and the Invention of the Economy
Oct 27, 2024
In this session, sociologist Dan Hirshman and economic historian Dirk Philipsen illuminate the life of Simon Kuznets, the pioneer of GDP. They discuss how Kuznets' vision for national income measurement diverged from the contentious reality of its use. The conversation highlights the flawed nature of GDP and explores alternatives like the Genuine Progress Indicator and Human Development Index, advocating for a more comprehensive understanding of economic success that accounts for well-being and environmental impact.
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The 90% Rule
- In 2010, economists Reinhart and Rogoff's paper linked high debt-to-GDP ratios with low growth, influencing austerity measures.
- A grad student later found coding errors and methodological issues, invalidating the 90% rule.
The Messy Reality of Economics
- Economic ideas seem objective, but closer examination reveals messy stories shaped by values and interests.
- A media-friendly message delivered at the right time can be very effective, even if flawed.
Measuring the Great Depression
- During the Great Depression, there was no consensus on its severity, leading to a public debate.
- Frances Perkins challenged President Hoover's optimistic view using New York state data.