Venture investors riff on headwinds, hype, and wildcards of 2023
Jan 17, 2024
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Venture investors discuss the challenges faced by climate startups in 2023, including decreased deal counts and round sizes. They analyze the impact of the fundraising environment on different sectors and the emergence of a new normal in valuations. The decline of SPACs and lack of liquidity are discussed, along with challenges in building commercial facilities. Investor anxieties and climate concerns are also addressed.
45:16
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Quick takeaways
Climate tech venture investing in 2023 saw a decline in deal counts, round sizes, and repeat investors, impacting the sector negatively.
Exits in the climate tech sector were significantly impacted in 2023, with the decline of SPACs and limited activity in IPO markets, leading to lower valuations and liquidity challenges.
Deep dives
Decline in Climate Tech Venture Investing in 2023
In 2023, climate tech venture investing saw a decline in deal counts, round sizes, and repeat investors. Valuations took a hit, exits tanked, and growth investment dropped considerably. The fall in IPO markets, M&A challenges, and rising interest rates also impacted the sector. However, certain sectors like storage, hydrogen, and steel thrived, while plant-based meat replacement and consumer-facing companies struggled. Despite the challenges, the year was seen as a time of building as companies focused on expanding runway, profitability, and attracting investors in the future.
Market Correction and Challenges in Exits
Exits in the climate tech sector were significantly impacted in 2023, with the decline of SPACs playing a major role. M&A faced challenges due to federal trade rulings, and IPO markets experienced limited activity. The lack of liquidity affected venture-backed companies, and the valuations of many companies dropped. However, the podcast participants believe that IPO markets and M&A will eventually recover, and strategic acquisitions will happen. They emphasize the importance of building companies to become cash-flowing and attractive to potential buyers.
Challenges and Opportunities in Climate Tech Sectors
The podcast discusses overhyped sectors in climate tech venture investing, such as sustainable aviation fuels and AI. The production cost and policy uncertainties make sustainable aviation fuels a challenging sector to achieve cost competitiveness. While AI is a powerful tool for climate efforts, it is not yet a game-changer in the industry. On the other hand, maritime shipping and geologic hydrogen emerge as sectors of growing interest and potential impact. Maritime activities have gained attention due to their significant emissions contribution, and geologic hydrogen is seen as a wildcard with potential to reshape the energy landscape.
The Year of Building and Future Anxieties
The participants express both excitement and anxieties about the future. They highlight the year of 2023 as a year of building, where companies focused on constructing new projects and facilities, paving the way for future innovations and reductions in emissions. However, anxieties remain regarding the return of IPO markets and M&A, the normalization of the fundraising cycle, and the potential setback for climate initiatives if climate antagonistic powers come into political control. The participants emphasize the need for effective messaging and storytelling to ensure these sectors are viewed positively and as opportunities for innovation and job creation.
Turbulent. Equilibrating. Those are the words that investors Gabriel Kra and Carly Anderson use to describe the last year for venture capital in climate tech.
We now have a full picture of the year for climate tech venture investing in 2023. Fresh data from Sightline Climate shows a decline in deal counts, round sizes, and a dropoff in repeat investors.
It was a year of rising interest rates, declining valuations, a bank collapse, and falling exits. But it was also when many companies started building factories, and forging a path toward a green industrial economy.
“If rates go up and IPO markets dry up, we all suffer from that just like everybody else does,” said Kra. “But when we look back, we're going to realize, that's when products started rolling off the lines.”
“I think it was a year of looking around and figuring out, ‘hey, what's real and we, where is, where is the ground?’ And I think we're at a pretty solid place now to go forward, “ said Anderson.
This week: we feature perspectives from two investors on the mixed environment for fundraising, the impact on different sectors, and why we may actually look back on 2023 in a positive light.
Sign up for Latitude Media’s Frontier Forum on January 31, featuring Crux CEO Alfred Johnson, who will break down the budding market for clean energy tax credits. We’ll dissect current transactions and pricing, compare buyer and seller expectations, and look at where the market is headed in 2024.
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